Tag Archives: Will Obama Be Re-elected in 2012

Will Obama Be Re-Elected In 2012 – Assessing the Odds of a 2nd Term

Many people are asking will Obama be re-elected in 2012?  This is going to be a hotly contested topic until the 2012 elections.   Many liberals love the work he has done in the country over the last few years, but many moderates and independents no longer support Obama.  Many Republicans think that Obama is unbeatable in 2012, but many hard-core conservatives can’t wait to defeat him in 2012.  There are a variety of arguments on the topic, and none of the polls are going to give us a completely accurate picture of the likely 2012 Presidential results.

Will Obama be re-elected in 2012?  There are valid arguments on both sides of the equation.

Barak Obama Will Be Re-Elected in 2012

  1. He is the incumbent candidate for President.  History shows us that the incumbent President has a huge advantage in most elections.  George H. W. Bush is the last incumbent to be beat in an election, and Jimmy Carter was defeated in 1980.  Gerald Ford was defeated in 1976, but he was never elected to the presidency.  Ronald Reagan, Bill Clinton and George W Bush were all able to get reelected.
  2. He is a great public speaker.  When Obama is prepared, he is able to capture the attention of the audience.  He may not have all the glamour he had in 2008, but he can still stir the emotions of the audience.
  3. He has tremendous financial backing.  It is estimated that President Obama could raise $1 billion dollars in the 2012 campaign.  He will be able to advertise his message wherever he wants in 2012.

Will Obama be re-elected in 2012?

Barak Obama Will Be Defeated In 2012

  1. Unemployment is still very high.  Many other businesses have been negatively affected since the economic collapse of 2008.  With the continued struggles in the United States economy, the President will have to accept some of the blame.  By 2012, most people are not going to accept excuses about his predecessor being responsible for today’s economy.
  2. He is losing support among many key demographics.  Women, independents, and even some liberals do not support him like they did in 2008.  It seems that Obama is not going to get the same support he got in 2008.
  3. Rising energy prices and inflation could derail his reelection bid.  There are not any signs that the economy is getting much better.  Gas prices are still high, and inflation continues to tick upwards.  If gas prices continue going up between now and the elections 2012, it will make his reelection bid much more difficult.  It appears that gas prices are not going to fall anytime soon, and people are not happy with his policies on the moratorium on drilling in the Gulf of Mexico.

Will Obama be re-elected in 2012?  It is too early to say at the time of this writing.  The economy is probably the biggest issue that will influence whether he is re-elected in 2012.  If the economy is improving in late 2012, he may be re-elected, but a souring economy could kick him out of the White House after 2012.