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Latest Rasmussen Polls Show President Obama Could Win In November

The latest Rasmussen Polls are not particularly encouraging for Mitt Romney supporters.  While Mitt Romney has led in the daily Presidential tracking polls for the last several days after the fade of the Democrat convention bounce, he is trailing slightly in some of the key battleground states.

Learn more about the latest Rasmussen polls here!

There are several toss-up states that are going to determine this election.  The other states have been virtually decided.  The magic number to win the presidency is 270 electoral college votes.  It appears that Obama already has 247 Electoral College votes that should go in his favor.  Romney already has 196 electoral college votes that are secure.  There are a total of 95 toss-up votes that could go in either direction.

Latest Rasmussen Polls

Colorado

Colorado is in a dead heat right now, with both candidates polling at 47%.  The state of Colorado is worth 9 votes.  Romney needs Colorado to win the presidency.

Florida

Florida is worth 29 Electoral College votes.  It is worth more than any of the other states, and the state is crucial for both candidates.  Romney can’t win the election without carrying Florida.  President Obama leads Romney 48% to 46% in the most recent Rasmussen poll dated September 13.  President Obama closes the deal if he can keep his lead in Florida.  Romney could win every other toss-up state

Missouri

Romney has retaken the lead in Missouri.  He leads Obama by three points with a 48% to 45% advantage in the state.  Missouri is worth 10 votes, and Romney has led in most polls, so we expect this state to go to Romney.

Virginia

This state used to lean Republican, but it went to Obama in 2008.  Virginia is worth 13 electoral college votes, and Obama leads Romney 49% to 48% right now.  Romney probably can’t win the presidency without Virginia, so he needs to spend more time in Virginia.

Ohio

Like Virginia, this race is extremely close.  At 18 electoral college votes, Romney must win this state too.  Obama leads Romney 47% to 46%.  With less than two months to go before the election, Romney has a lot of work to do to win Ohio.

Wisconsin

Wisconsin is worth 10 electoral college votes.  Romney leads Obama by 1% in Wisconsin.  In July, Obama was ahead of Romney 3%, but this changed once Paul Ryan was selected as Romney’s running mate.  Ryan is from Wisconsin, and Romney probably won’t win the presidency without winning the state of Wisconsin.

Iowa

Iowa is worth six votes, and Romney leads Obama 46% to 44%.  This state is important to the candidates, but it is not worth as much as the other swing states.

Overall, it is possible that Romney could win the popular vote, but lose the electoral college vote.  He is going to have to win Virginia, Ohio, and Florida to have any chance to win the presidency.  If the elections were held today, President Obama would likely win a 2nd term.

 

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Mitt Romney vs. Obama – Polls Seem To Be Tightening in the Swing States

With the November elections approaching quickly, it appears that Romney has a great chance to stage an upset in the 2012 elections.  The latest Mitt Romney vs. Obama polls are showing that races are tightening in many of the swing states. Here is a summary of what is happening in the swing states today:

Learn more about Mitt Romney vs. Obama

Virginia

The latest Rasmussen poll shows that Obama gets 47% of the vote, while Romney gets 46% of the vote.  Obama was up by as much as 10 points several months ago, and there is still time for Romney to gain more support in this important swing state.

Mitt Romney vs Obama

Michigan

Rasmussen is reporting a six point advantage for Obama in the July 23 poll.  Obama receives 48% vs. Romney 42%.  This contradicts other polling data which has suggested that Romney has a chance to win Michigan too.

Ohio

According to Rasmussen polling data for the week of July 19, Obama is leading in Ohio with a 47% to 45% advantage over Romney.  Ohio went to Obama in 2008, but it has gone to Republican candidates in elections before 2008.

North Carolina

The state of North Carolina has been leaning toward Romney for months.  Romney leads Obama 47% to 44% in the latest polls.  President Obama’s open support of gay marriage is not helping him in this state.

Florida

Florida has been a tossup state for years, and it is famous for the Bush vs. Gore election in 2000.  Rasmussen polling states Romney leads Obama 46% to 45% in the state, so the winner here is anyone’s guess this time around.

Iowa

Iowa is also close, as Romney leads Obama by just one percentage point in the Rasmussen poll with a 47 to 46 margin in the state.

Wisconsin

Governor Scott Walker has made Wisconsin a winnable state for the Republicans by surviving a recall election and taking the right steps to get the Wisconsin state budget under control.  Rasmussen reports that Romney has a three point lead in Wisconsin.

Colorado

In one of the closest races of all, Obama and Romney are in a statistical dead heat at 45% each.  This will be an interesting race to watch in the coming months.

Mitt Romney vs. Obama will continue to develop in the coming months, but these numbers do not bode well for Obama’s reelection changes.  Undecided voters tend to go for the other candidate in 60% of cases, so Romney will likely gain more ground in the coming weeks.

 

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